The global race for natural resources is intensifying
Natural resources have long been central to global politics, including influencing geopolitical alliances. However, the competition for such resources is intensifying because of factors including climate change, the energy transition, and growing...
US-Europe relationship too important to be sidelined
There is no shortage of geopolitical challenges and opportunities facing US President Donald Trump in 2026. His to-do list, ranging from his Gaza peace proposal to finalizing an end to Russia’s invasion...
2026 to be a key moment in space innovation
In two respects, 2026 is set to be a decisive year for space. The first is that, as geopolitical tensions rise globally, space is becoming a new arena for warfare. States are...
Saudi-UAE fallout and its impact on Yemen’s recognised government
Saudi Arabia's strike on Yemeni port has triggered tensions with the UAE, and it will have an impact on Yemen’s future.
Saudi Arabia’s strike on...
Will one tumultuous year lead to another?
In the march of humanity toward the unknown and uncertain, there are dates in the year that enable us, almost force us, to stop and take stock of the past and present...
What the future holds for Africa
Africa enters 2026 carrying more weight than momentum. The continent is no longer operating on the margins of global disorder; it is inside it, shaped by it and, at times, exploited by...
The bitter lessons of Bondi Beach attack
The very thought that anyone, in the name of whatever distorted ideology or religion they claim to follow, should believe that shooting innocent and defenseless people who are complete strangers to them...
Time to get serious about AI risk
In November 2024, US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping made their first substantive joint statement about the national security risks posed by artificial intelligence. Specifically, they noted that both...
China’s latest 5-year plan will be watched by the world
The coming year will surely have some significant surprises in store, both politically and economically. However, one relatively predictable feature of the global landscape will be the launch of China’s new five-year...
The year that could be
Every December in recent years, I think back to the time when Jeremy Corbyn, then the leader of the opposition Labour Party in my adopted country, the UK, quoted from a new...